Nifty Levels for 17 August 2011

Mid cap and Small dug up the market today and Indian bourses ended in the negative territory due to last hours pull off by institutional investors.

Nifty could manage to stay above 5000 mark and closed at 5035 off its day's low of 5016 after losing 37.15 points from its previous close.

Midcap and small cap stocks were the major responsible stocks for this moderate loss.
Nifty Futures ended at 5040 down by 39.85 points (-0.78%).

The fundamental signals are indicating that the market may face more downfall in coming trading session and If nifty futures breaks 5000 mark on downside, it may further take a dip down to 4950.

RESISTANCE: It has first resistance close to the level of 5140 & above this level the next resistance is seen near the 5235 mark.

SUPPORT: It has first support close to the level of 5000 & below this level the next support is seen near 4950 mark.

Nifty Weekly Analysis - Week Starting 16 August

We are living in the time where fear and doubt of reining supreme and trading in Volatile times.Hence Keep your trading volumes low as there is 80% Probability of whipsawing on both sides if you are trading on your emotions.

Nifty Hourly

A picture Speaks Thousands words. It is clear cut trading pattern which is present in above chart. Buy above 5121 to go to upper end of trading range near 5200 and Sell below 5121 for lower end of trading range 5010.

This played out pretty well on Thursdays session where we had shorted near 5121.

As of Now we are in a range bound market(5200-5010) and working on Support and Resistance is best stratergy with small Sl till one trades gets stopped out.

Keep your trading as simple as possible to get maximum out of it.

Nifty Daily

On Daily chart we have formed a double bottom at 5054 which is bullish in nature if 5054 does not get broken out on Tuesday. Good IIP number were also unable to boost the Nifty to break the range of 5200.

Bull Case:Market might test the previous Low of 4956 or make a slightly higher bottom,Trap Shorts and than break the resistance of 5200 and advance ahead to fill the Gap formed at 5320-5230

Bear Case:As expiry is just 9 days ahead and Unable to break 5200 so with a break of 4956 create a panic and move till 4800 levels.

Both Cases are possible as a trade we need to trade with our system and discipline to mint money.

Indicators are still in oversold region.

Nifty Fibo

Fibo Support and Resistance play a vital role and give good trades.

IF we consider the low of 4956 and recent high of 5740 there are 2 resistances on upside 5135 and 5242 as per fibo levels. These 2 Levels have to Kept in Mind for trading next week.

Nifty Weekly Fibo

Nifty Weekly Fibo from low of 2552 to High of 6337 gives us the 61.8% retracement at 4779 which will be the next level of support on downside.

One thing i am most perturbed about is Every one on Street is bearish and everyone is talking about 4800 levels atleast. Blue Channel talking of 4800 levels and I have seldom seen market working as per mass consensuses or hear mentality.

This thought process is making me bullish for near term but bottomline is never follow ur emotions so lets see what happens the next week